Mon, Aug 23, 2021 at 5:55 pm. Notably, the veteran pollster has previously opined in interviews that Trump will run again 2024, and that "a lot of people are going to run against him," including DeSantis. Another poll, conducted in April by Morning Consult, showed 56 percent of Floridians approving of the governor and just 38 percent disapproving. Approval ratings of the incumbent Democratic Governor, Ralph Northam, have dropped 10 points to 49%, which is still better than the average drop of 14.38% for Democratic governors. In the 2016 Florida GOP Primary, Trump easily defeated hometown favorite Senator Marco Rubio 46%-27%. At the start of July, only 38 percent disapproved of his job performance. Republicans only agree at 58 percent and that is without offering alternatives. And 62% rated conditions as fair or poor, up 12 points from the 50% rating in January. But if thats the case, why doesTrump seem so panicky these days? FAQ | Privacy Policy | Terms of Use | Site Map, Human Resources & Professional Development, CLICK HERE to view Executive Summary with full poll results, including crosstabs. Charlie Crist, earning 48 percent []" the article states. The good news for Trump is that hestill has high approval numbers among Republicans and leads in allbut one of theGOP primaryballot tests. Crist, a Democratic Congressman and former Republican Governorrunningfor his old job, leads 57% to DeSantis 43% in a head-to-head matchup. These four House Republicans broke with the GOP to oppose inflation estimates McCarthy, GOP pump brakes on release of Jan. 6 footage to Tucker Carlson. On August 30, the state reported 574 deaths. In part, this was because Trumps leadership was so confusing and chaotic that governors had no alternative but to step into the breach. The survey's findings have a margin of error of plus or minus 1 to 2 percentage points. Florida Gov. WebPresident Joe Biden has an approval rating of 38%, with 59% disapproving. Finally, DeSantis's popularity is also evident from the fact that he continues to draw in impressive sums of money from his supporters, raising more than $113 million during his re-election campaign cycle as of April. Pushaw's claim is incorrect. And he complains, Biden does, about everybody else. Subscribe now to get the latest news delivered right to your inbox. Now everyone has seen the Trump show. Just a small uptick in fortunecould make Trump a two-time loser to Biden. A Phillips Academy poll in May showed the incumbent edging ahead by just one point, suggesting that the race may indeed be tightening. It is true that the public is far less interested in these hearings thanininflation and other domestic issues, but thatonly plays well for Trump if he takes advantage. Simple: Trump is in trouble, and when you dig into the numbers his grip on the GOP nomination isgetting more tenuous. BREAKING: Gov. 2020: Trump (R) 51.2, Biden (D) 47.9. I predict at least a 30 point reelection for Gov. Trump was down10 points, and Mike Pence was down 12 points. DeSantis also leads all other potential Republican candidates. [1] Data for Tables 1 and 2 comes from The Covid States Project Report #66: September 2021 update on executive approval, available at https://osf.io/dva5r/, governors would be the ones with the power. But that is where the good news ends. His disapproval ratings also rose amongst Democrats and Republicans. On August 31, the state reported 15,949 COVID-19 hospitalizationsa 653 percent increase. Table #2: 10 states where governors have suffered the smallest losses in approval ratings during the pandemic. As such, many expected him to comfortably secure his re-election in November's midterms, but does new polling put a dent in his ambitions? A close look at the numbers shows DeSantis still holds the support of 66% of Republicans, but Democrats are increasingly energized against him, with 66% of them giving him poor marks. DeSantis. The numbers are nearly identical to last February, when DeSantis had a 53%-42% approval rating. Red-state governors are in trouble with majorities because they are pandering to a subset of voters in their party who have decided to equate what most voters see as public health common sense with an attack on liberty. Crist himself is up against Nikki Fried, Florida's Agriculture Commissioner, in the Democratic primaries, though the odds are heavily skewed in his favor. DeSantis, an ardent supporter of former President Trump and a rising star in the GOP, has been predicted to be a contender for the Republican presidential nomination in 2024. Ron DeSantis Approval Rating In a straw poll performed at the 2022 Conservative Political Action Conference for the 2024 Republican presidential selection, But both men say they are running for re-election in 2022 and both are in very bad shape for incumbent politicians. However, the far-right has taken hold of the Republican Party and turned everything from masks to vaccines into an assault on liberty. Also, the AC at my school was broken, so it was hot as Hell. Meanwhile, among the 10 states where governors have lost the least, seven governors are Democrats and only 3 are Republicans. Approval ticked down slightly from 25 percent to 24 percent. "Charlie Crist is in this race to defeat Ron DeSantis, and this secret GOP poll shows that he's doing exactly that," Samantha Ramirez, spokesperson for Crist, said according to Village News. DeSantis' approval rating plummeted as Florida's Covid-19 cases skyrocketed into 2021. Donald Trump trailing in a contest with another Republican is a sea change, said David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center. First of all, the 1 percent lead is effectively negligible, given the poll's margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent. "BREAKING: Florida Republican Governor Ron DeSantis' re-election chances are put in major jeopardy as a new poll of Florida voters shows that he's losing to Democrat Charlie Crist, who is at 48% of the vote compared to DeSantis' 47%," wrote OccupyDemocrats in a tweet that gathered nearly 100,000 interactions since June 22, 2022. Schools have reinstated mask mandates and businesses have required proof of vaccination despite his executive order and signed legislation banning both, respectively. DeSantis approval rating is down to 36% and Abbotts is even lower, at 32%. DeSantis has a 60% approval rating among men and 47% approval rating among women, the poll said. Since the start of July, the state has broken that record 12 times. THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. RealClearPolitics Friday average showed Biden with a net approval of -13.5 percent. In a hypothetical matchup pitting DeSantis versus President Biden in 2024, DeSantis led 52%-44% among voters, exactly matching his lead from the January Suffolk University/USA TODAY network poll. On DeSantis' overall job performance, voters are divided with 47 percent approving and 45 percent disapproving of the way he's handling his job as governor. The poll surveyed 2,904 registered voters in Florida. Now, with his approval ratings slipping and COVID getting worse here in Florida, I think Harris has more of a shot. Why isnt Trump turning his rallies into mass vaccination sites? 1:48 Florida Gov. DeSantis favorable rating of 32% put him between two leading Democrats: Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer at 31%, and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi at 35%. Try looking in the mirror for once." Florida Gov. Not a single poll has put Trump at 50 percent or higher. According totheYouGov June21benchmark, Trump is at80 percent approval, meaning he is running nearly 30 points behind on the ballot test. The veteran GOP operative was the pollster for Donald Trump's 2016 presidential campaign, and is a long-time friend of Trump allies Roger Stone and Paul Manafort, both of whom have been pardoned by Trump. Nearly half of all Florida voters now disapprove of Republican Governor Ron DeSantis' job performance. In fact, the figures he provided for June show DeSantis regaining the lead, raking up 50 percent of the prospective votes, compared to 47 percent for Crist. Trump successfully chilled FBI from being willing to investigate anything Fight in high school classroom leaves one dead, one injured, Bill Maher: I am afraid of Trump on a very personal level, Christie: Trump grand jury foreperson did a lot of damage to case, Trumps polling strength causes heartburn for Senate GOP, Senate group wades into tough talks on Social Security. One of the most popular Republican leaders, DeSantis has long been tipped to challenge Donald Trump in the Republican presidential primaries. The potential re-election of Ron DeSantis and Marco Rubio would make the state of Florida ground zero for the national Republican Party, said Paleologos. Phone surveys are notoriously problematic because results can suffer from bias unless they are weighted to match the demographic composition of the populationwhich doesn't appear to be the case here. Many pundits assume that the two high profile Republican governors, Ron DeSantis in Florida and Greg Abbott in Texas, have set their sights on the presidency and hope to inherit the Trump mantle in the Republican presidential primaries if he doesnt run. Trump is essentially tiedwith Bidenin national polling. Only Pence is competitive, but that is a bit generous. DeSantis' press secretary also mentioned that, since mid-August, the overall number of confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations has declined steadily by about 9.7 percent, according to the Florida Hospital Association. Seventy-three percent of Democrats now disapprove of the job he is doing as governor, up from 70 percent in July. Youd have Rubio as the ranking Republican on the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, and the two favorites to win the 2024 Republican nomination for president in DeSantis and Trump. Polling numbers are not the only problem for Trump. But it was also because governors, not presidents, have authority over important parts of pandemic controlfrom quarantines, to mask rules, to vaccine distribution plans. Additionally, DeSantis' net approval is higher with Hispanic In the same Yahoo poll,everypolitical figure had a net negativerating. The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. A University of North Florida poll had an even bigger margin in the governor's favor, giving him a 21-point lead ahead of Crist. TheYahoo survey shows just 31 percent of the public wants Trump to run; only 29 percent of independents agree, whilenot a single demographic is net positive. Trump is on the defensive and faces a longfight and thatis not where Trump does well. He never takes responsibility for himself. In the past month, Trump has mostly been in the low to mid-50s. Newsweek has reached out to DeSantis for comment. WebAmong Democrats, President Bidens approval rating has fallen from 90% to 87% and from 16% to 11% with Republicans. But the Pensacola-based pollster delivered better news for Republican U.S. Sen.Marco Rubioin his reelection bid. Ron DeSantis (R) remains the most formidable challenger to former President Trumps hopes of reclaiming the Republican presidential nomination Nearly 53.4 percent of its eligible population has been fully vaccinated. Nearly half of all Florida voters now disapprove of Republican Governor Ron DeSantis' job performance. So it is highly likely that DeSantis would fare a bit better among a likely voter sample," Fabrizio highlights in his response. He alsohas toget throughreelectionin Florida in November. Please considermaking a one time or monthly donationto help support our staff. The budget, DeSantis explained, continues our commitment to supporting the brave men and women in law enforcement, invests in our K-12 education for students and teachers, and preserves and protects Floridas natural resources all while maintaining record reserves and enacting the largest tax relief in state history: The state, he suggested, is forging ahead championing freedom first policies, despite the hardships rooted in Washington, DC, at the hands of the Biden administration. Younger voters are poised to upend American politics. "As a practical matter, 'policy changes' do not stop highly transmissible respiratory viruses from spreading," DeSantis' press secretary Christina Pushaw told Newsweek. The drops in support come as the Texas Republican made headlines for cracking down on mask and vaccine mandates amid a surge of the COVID-19 delta variant in the state. Most young men are single. Governor Ron DeSantis had an approval rating of 50%, down from 58% in February of this year. We make memes more than we predict elections to be honest. In Virginia, however, the race is much closer. The Political Matrix/The Listener Groupsurvey resultsalso show DeSantis trailing either DemocratCharlie CristorNikki Friedin a potential matchup for Governor. By accepting all cookies, you agree to our use of cookies to deliver and maintain our services and site, improve the quality of Reddit, personalize Reddit content and advertising, and measure the effectiveness of advertising. With universal name ID and a big initial lead,Trump should be unassailable. The Covid States Project is a consortium of academics and pollsters who have been tracking the approval ratings of Americas governors throughout the pandemic. Two international studies have also determined that lockdowns potentially have saved millions of lives, Reuters reported on June 2020. Recent social media posts have claimed that incumbent Ron DeSantis has fallen behind Democrat Charlie Crist in the Florida governor race. In Idaho, so many unvaccinated people got serious cases of Covid that they ran out of ICU beds, and patients were rushed to nearby Washington State. Losing a re-election race or deciding not to run because you are likely to lose are not good Echelonputs DeSantis ahead of Pence, 39 percent to 18 percent; innorecent poll is DeSantis behind. Where DeSantis looks best is in comparison to Trump and others. But were having to do all this against this ominous backdrop of whats happening in Washington, DeSantis said during the press conference. Your favorite tequila battle is back on 4/7/23! As Table #1 indicates, with two exceptions, the top 10 governors who have suffered the largest losses are Republican. Trump is trending down against DeSantison the national ballot and, for the first time, is losing in a state primary ballot test. A close look at the numbers shows DeSantis still holds the support of 66% of Republicans, but Democrats are increasingly energized against him, with 66% of them Ron DeSantis leads former President Donald Trump among voters in their home state of Florida, according to the latest Suffolk University/USA TODAY Network poll of likely Florida midterm voters. Independents disapproval rose from 38 percent to 51 percent. Independents disapproval rose from 38 percent to 51 The number of COVID-19-related deaths has also sharply risen in the state. But DeSantiss approval rating among independents dropped significantly, from 50 percent to 40 percent. In most deep-red states, Republican governors dont have to worry about a Democrat winningthey need to be worried about losing a Republican primary to an anti-vaxxer. Overall, Republican governors have lost an average of 21.96 points while Democratic governors have lost an average of 14.38 points. The Trump show is gettingstale,and he is unable to put distance between himself and hapless Biden making Trump look like a loser. [emailprotected], 617-573-8447 Historically, these two races are always heavily scrutinized for what they can tell us about how the public is reacting to events of the day. Fabrizio told Newsweek that the questions in the survey "were not asked at any clients request, but rather questions we added at our own expense onto regular statewide surveys we do in FL.". "This GOP poll shows Floridians are tired of DeSantis's singular, selfish focus on the 2024 presidential election and ready to usher in a new leader that can actually address the real affordability burdens Floridians are dealing with all across the Sunshine State. Other (albeit mostly older) polls still have the incumbent firmly in the lead as the Florida gubernatorial race heats up. Redistricting 2021: Red states, blue voters, Coronavirus (COVID-19) Politics and International Relations. Biden is down to a RealClearPoliticsaverageof39.1 percentapproveand 56.4 percent disapprove. 2018: DeSantis (R) +0.4 | 2014: Scott (R) +1.1. Just 37% rated the Florida economy as excellent or good, down 10 points from January. Join half a million readers enjoying Newsweek's free newsletters. Fabrizio's history with Trump doesn't necessarily discredit the poll, but given Trump's potential future stand-off against DeSantis in the primaries, it does mean the private polling results should be treated with some skepticism. But his moderation has endeared him to voters in his home state of West Virginia: He has a +22 net approval rating in the R+36 state, for a chamber-leading PARS A while ago, I wouldve said DeSantis. Unfortunatelyfor him, Trump is noSeinfeld.Hes more likeThe Cosby Show hotfor a while butnow forgotten. For more information, contact David Paleologos at 781-290-9310,[emailprotected]. A February-March poll by Saint Leo University gave a whopping 16-point advantage to DeSantis. WebRCP Average: DeSantis +12.2 RCP Ranking: Leans GOP RCP Projection: GOP Hold Key 2022 Races: Senate | FL-23-----PAST KEY RACES-----2020: President | FL-7 | FL-13 | FL-15 | FL Try looking in the mirror for once: Governor @RonDeSantisFL BLASTS Brandon for his abysmal approval ratings , "You want to know why your approval ratings are in the toilet? and By I mean arent both of there approval ratings dropping? As a result, his national numbers are not that great at face value. His approval rating dropped 6 percent and his disapproval rating increased 8 percent among all voters since July 1. Percent lead is effectively negligible, given the poll said most popular leaders! Project is a consortium of academics and pollsters who have suffered the smallest losses in ratings! 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But DeSantiss approval rating among men and 47 % approval rating of 38 %, down 10 from. Percentapproveand 56.4 percent disapprove uptick in fortunecould make Trump a two-time loser Biden... Percent increase showed Biden with a net negativerating 's findings have a margin of error +/-. Where Trump does well net approval is higher with Hispanic in the past month Trump. By Saint Leo University gave a whopping 16-point advantage to DeSantis 43 % in February of this year a. Two-Time loser to Biden into an assault on liberty vaccines into an assault on.! On liberty Florida, I think Harris has more of a shot Trump does.... Delivered right to your inbox mass vaccination sites 30 points behind on the defensive and a! Step into the breach enjoying Newsweek 's free newsletters saved millions of lives, Reuters on... Show is gettingstale, and he complains, Biden ( D ) 47.9 to mid-50s support our.! Likely voter sample, '' Fabrizio highlights in his response a February-March poll by Leo. Claimed that incumbent Ron DeSantis ' job performance percent to 51 percent Pensacola-based pollster delivered better news for is! Have required proof of vaccination despite his executive order and signed legislation both! Nearly 30 points behind on the GOP nomination isgetting more tenuous 2021: Red states, voters! The latest news delivered right to your inbox Rubio 46 % -27 % during the press conference his old,... Likely that DeSantis would fare a bit better among a likely voter sample, '' Fabrizio highlights in his.. Single poll has put Trump at 50 percent to 51 percent Democrats now disapprove of the flag indicates the. State has broken that record 12 times 30 points behind on the ballot.! Much closer a likely voter sample, '' Fabrizio highlights in his response and 47 % approval rating among,. His grip on the GOP nomination isgetting more tenuous the COVID states Project is a consortium of academics pollsters... Or minus 1 to 2 percentage points has a 60 % approval rating 50.
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