The strokes-gained cutoffs by category are OTT: 0.3, APP: 0.55, ARG: 0.55, PUTT: 0.65. Im from Lubbock, so getting in the wind and getting in the heat, I feel very comfortable. Hey David, any article past a certain date got locked after the site switchover. I always thought I was a pretty good wind player. I aim for the spot I know the winds going to take it over. That was part of the reason why I went to Texas. -2018 TPC San Antonio (Valero), Q. Youre a guy who seems to like playing in these windy conditions. Conners 3. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Sergio Garcia (2.708 sg:wind vs. 2.149 sg:total) Also, based on the graph, the max strokes gained is just over 1, but max strokes lost is -1.5. He followed that up with a T10 at the RBC Heritage, then proceeded to miss his next four cuts leading up to this week. Any chance we can get an update before the windy Masters? Thank you for all you do Josh! -2017 Masters, SAM SAUNDERS: I think well get some wind, the traditional wind that we get here throughout the week and start getting a little bit tougher out there. Scheffler managed to win in 2022 with only two rounds under par, logging a five-under-par as his winning score, beating Viktor Hovland, Billy Horschel, and Tyrell Hatton by one stroke. There have been some major renovations made by Gil Hanse since we last saw the course on TOUR. -2018 Australian Open @ The Lakes GC. SYNOP codes from weather stations and buoys. A lot of flight in golf shots, a lot of different shapes. When he plays four rounds, he's playing them well. Weve seen over the past few weeks how important putting well on Bentgrass greens have been. Ive identified six of my favorite plays and will explain why each one should be treated as a priority edition to your DFS lineups. 2nd - strokes gained tee to green in windy conditions 13th - proximity over the last 36 rounds played 13th - strokes gained on par-3's over last 36 rounds played (Renaissance Club has five par-3's) 14th - strokes gained approach over the last 24 rounds played 21st - strokes gained off the tee over the last 24 rounds played Awful, right? Sentry Tournament of Champions 'Horses for the course' Approach shots are a very important part of the game of golf. But, we go on. Nick Taylor (1.296 sg:wind vs. 0.856 sg:total) Rory McIlroy . This is +0.5 in the Strokes Gained world, and means you have gained 0.5 strokes on the field on that shot. Perfect. Once the wind begins to hit 30 mph, only the best golfers will be able to navigate the course and achieve a decent score. Heres the custom model for this week that will later be incorporated into the mixed condition model: Now lets look at the mixed condition model which produces final results: For his standards, McIlroy has disappointed at the first two elevated events, finishing 29th at the Genesis Invitational and 32nd at the WM Phoenix Open. Over the past 12, 24 and 50 rounds, Zalatoris sits 22nd, ninth and eighth, respectively. I mean, the balls roll off the green; they go pretty far away. I hate the John Deere Classic, I hate the fields it brings, and I didn't watch a single swing. Obviously it can get windy in Perth. The difference isnt as extreme as approach shots, but they are still very significant. Patrick Cantlay (2.49 sg:total) As you all know, I like to look at current form as my biggest factor in handicapping golf, so here are the top 10 in total strokes gained in 2023 for this field. Do you consider yourself a natural wind player? Tiger Woods (1.696 sg:wind vs. 2.376 sg:total) -2016 Harbour Town, Q. Pingback: Culps Corner: WGC-Match Play Preview | YouRulz. I should be able to switch those on and update the page in the next few minutes. The former are generally easier to hit because of the perimeter weighting and deep, low center of gravity, while the latter are favored by better players because of the increased workability. First, it allows for better control over the balls movement and acceleration, which is key to making a good putt. If you look back at my first year on Tour, its really difficult to play with the wind, in links golf and cold. Mitchell also possesses an accurate driver, allowing him to find the fairway and outpace others in his group, giving him the best approach shot for birdie opportunities. Sam Burns is a huge value this weekend at $8.1K on DraftKings. Zalatoris ranks first in scrambling from the fringe, first in approach putt performance, and is 27th in strokes gained putting, which is a massive improvement from previous seasons. I like playing in the wind, I like it more than the normal guys out there. -2018 Nine Bridges, Q. your ability to handle the wind here and that type of thing? Expected high winds and firm conditions this week will also open things up a bit to accurate . Do you see any sort of advantage? Stay away from difficult underfoot conditions or exposed edges and get off the hill as soon as possible. He's also a yuge Patty Tavatanakit stan. For more from Matthew, check out hisarchiveand follow him@Matt_MacKay_. Hi Josh Across seven appearances at this track, McIlroy has never finished worse than 27th and owns five top-10 finishes, including a victory back in 2018. Brandon Harkins (-0.042 sg:wind vs. 0.803 sg:total) -2018 Masters, Q. Certainly there were some windy days in Texas. It's the average number of strokesthe actual number of strokes. The Fantasy Golfanac considers windy rounds to be any round where the average wind is at least 14 mph for the day. The last time we saw Southern Hills host a major championship was the PGA Championship in 2007, which Tiger Woods won at -8. I perform better on windy golf courses, I tend to play well on courses with softer greens, which sometimes when you have the high wind, you cant get them too firm. Junior Am), Joe "Butter" spends way too much time thinking about the 12th hole at Augusta National. Scottie Scheffler 3. Sign me up on Willy Z! Jason Kokrak (1.014 sg:wind vs. 1.444 sg:total) Strokes Gained Putting Lightning-Fast Bermuda Greens (Last 36 Rounds) Beau Hossler 40.9; Zach Johnson 33.1; Matt Fitzpatrick 31; Sam Burns 26.7; . Much appreciated. Strokes Gained: Putting (Bermuda and Lightning) A major reason Bay Hill plays as one of the most difficult courses on TOUR is the incredibly fast greens. According to strokes gained data, PGA pros take an average of 417 shots to complete a 460-yard par four. Its sneaky hard to putt when its windy. They have the games, guts and nerves to handle four pressure-packed rounds in windy conditions at St. Andrews. Top 10 in strokes gained ball striking in windy to very windy conditions: 1. . Think of it like comparing your driver's average distance to that of the PGA Tour average. Im kind of used to South Florida winds here. Coming from Southern California youre kind of in a bubble with perfect weather and no wind. Tony Finau 8. I could control my irons pretty well in the wind. There is no limit to the number of strokes a player may take on any one hole in golf. Star-studded fields in PGA Tour events often equate to massive value opportunities for acquiring good players at a fraction of the cost in DFS lineups. Your email address will not be published. There is no doubt that Mickey Wright had one of the best swings in golf history. To calculate strokes gained total use the formula below: Strokes gained off-the-tee + Strokes gained approach-the-green + strokes gained around-the-green + strokes gained putting= strokes gained total. Does Anti-specialist mean they are bad wind players? Let's talk stats. It'll be softer this week, but the wind is still expected . -2018 CC of Jackson, Q. Robert Garrigus (-0.03 sg:wind vs. 0.524 sg:total) Wind isn't typically a factor in Scottsdale, and the difficult conditions caught the Las Vegas resident . That report actually came in handy last week no anti-cold players performed well last week. However, the general consensus is Cheers. That tells when you youre hitting it good. Well, we produced a winner, so we followed it up with.. well, this. If we jump forward a step we know that pros take on average 319 shots to complete a hole from the fairway at 200 yards. He's had a bit of a strange season. One area he has in mind is strokes-gained categories that account for factors such as wind, turf conditions and the contours of a shot. In this case, that's 1.5-1 = 0.5. It may be both. -2018 PGA National, Q. Won the 2022 Qatar Masters in very windy conditions for his first DP World Tour title at 25-years-old. Sean OHair (1.302 sg:wind vs. 0.895 sg:total) So, I know the year I won it was real windy and I played well at Honda this year in the wind and so I feel like Im a good wind player. All updated and ready to roll. Matt Kuchar (2.223 sg:total) -2018 Match Play, Q. -2018 Honda. -2019 Riviera, Q. Subscribe:Apple Podcasts|Spotify|Google Podcasts|Stitcher|SoundCloud|iHeartRadio. SG: Putting (Bermuda and Lightning) over past 24 rounds: Beau Hossler (+24.9) (+20000) Garcia 6. Meteorologists and pro caddies agree that a well hit shot by a good golfer with any club will at some point in its trajectory be 80 to 90 feet above the ground. But if you can do both of those things, youll have a great chance to succeed. Ive lived here the last eight years, so gotten a little more familiar with it and definitely moving to Jupiter has helped me. Expected Strokes Gained= baseline performance for all round (adjusted to strength of field). But once you start swinging it well, like hitting it into the wind really shows you how you are hitting the golf ball because its going to only maximize your dispersion. Obviously not hurricane (laughter), but I do enjoy playing in the wind. There are two main types of drivers: those that are 460cc and have a shallow profile, and those that are less than 460cc and have a deeper profile. This site is amazing! He also gained eight strokes on approach at challenging Memorial Park, and finished T9 at last year's Players Championship. Thats just the bottom line. Hover over cells to view the category breakdown of great shots. In essence, strokes gained is a mathematical system that is used to analyze a player's performance. (Wind vs. Expected Strokes Gained) Are you a mudder? He's coming off a strong week at Riviera (T9) and a good showing last year at Bay Hill (T5). DeChambeau 6. He hasn't looked good in missing his last four cuts in row. Q. Youre talking about your shot, your game. Jordan Spieth (2.153 sg:total) I love playing in this stuff. How much of an advantage or how much confidence does it give you against the field when youre Patrick Cantlay 10. Burns ranks sixth in one-putt percentage, sixth putting from 10 feet, and performs his best in the third round, averaging 66.8 on his scorecard. The early read is that a late-Thursday and early-Friday waves will be best, but that can always change. Here, well outline two picks across the various markets using a custom statistical model. Arnold Palmer . Here is a list of performance when the weather is Sub 70 Degree It was particularly enjoyable today because I shot a good score, but some days are tougher than others. looks like temps will remain under 70 degrees all four days. Great to finish the day like that. Adam Hadwin (0.805 sg:wind vs. 1.44 sg:total) Ultimately, this is another week where strokes gained off . Like Id rather play in the wind than in the rain. There is no strokes gained data available for the event, but greens in regulation is a key stat for success while controlling ball flight in the wind. Back him in this market at -105 or better. An ad blocker has likely prevented this video content from loading. * Minimum 30 rounds to qualify. Can someone explain the meaning of : Wind gusts are going to make for tough conditions. Hideki Matsuyama (2.861 sg:total) Lanto Griffin ($8,200) | MC Join Now! Are you kind of a wind sort of player? -2015 PGA National, Q. Sergio, youve always been a particularly good wind player. BRANDEN GRACE: You know, you have to be precise, you have to pretty much work out a plan attacking the greens. He's not playing at the same clip as last year when he finished runner-up to Collin Morikawa. Not a good week. Part of my process each week is to go back through about 6 or 7 years of course history at each event. I mean, nobody likes playing in the rain but I would like it to be windy. -2017 Puerto Rico, Q. 1. which takes on added emphasis in the expected windy conditions. The gap seems to widen as handicaps get higher. Are you a mudder? Owned and designed in the vision of the iconic late golfer Arnold Palmer, Bay Hill has its share of water hazards, sand bunkers, and doglegged fairways that will punish errant tee shots and approach shots. . Like you said, I do like playing in the wind. Try Daily Fantasy Golf at DraftKings now >>. We know the prowess with the irons. Rory McIlroy hits from the fairway on the third hole during the final round of the Genesis Invitational golf tournament at Riviera Country Club, Sunday, Feb. 19, 2023, in the Pacific Palisades area of Los Angeles. I'm banking on quality iron play, as well as course, and course style, history that will propel him to have success this week. The greens have also been made smaller, creating a lot of run-off areas and tricky up-and-downs. If its into the wind I like to hit a little lower driver or whatnot. KEVIN TWAY: Yeah, absolutely. Thats just the way it is. He made his first birdie on the par-4 12th, and added others at the 14th and 18th. I hit it really high. Matt. Your position? McIlroy has gained strokes putting at Bay Hill in four of his past five trips, which has translated to one win, four top-10s and no finish worse than T-13. Its windy where Im from in Oklahoma so its kind of like I was at home. We know what he's capable of, and his price is rapidly dropping. I enjoying playing the knock down shots the judgement thats needed to play in the wind. Im going to use the wind to help me more. Wind page is now updated. Jason Day (2.903 sg:total) DANNY WILLETT: We obviously played a lot of links golf growing up, but I think the more years youre on Tour, the less you actually play in these type conditions. You mentioned the course getting better as it goes along. Trahan (0.598 sg:wind vs. 0.229 sg:total) Si Woo Kim (1.446 sg:wind vs. 1.062 sg:total) Im starting to stripe it a lot better, which my ball doesnt really get affected in this type of wind so thats one of the biggest differences. The Cutline goes over its top plays for the 2021-2022 Bermuda Championship, and gives extra bonus information on the slate that you can find at the 19th hole. Including this statistic will elevate the golfers who have done their best work on similar greens. This would be classed as a tough hole on tour. Unless otherwise noted, strokes gained stats are taken from the player's last 50 rounds and are a way to use golf statistics relative to the field and round played. Burns has improved almost every single time when competing at the API and hes well-rested entering Thursdays opening round. When things are going right, there is nobody within range of Morikawa's iron play. Gambling problem? Harold Varner III (0.132 sg:wind vs. 0.997 sg:total) Shouldnt be much movement in two weeks but I just updated. All signs point to this being one of the most difficult PGA Championships in recent memory. highlighted by 4.2 strokes gained off the tee and 6 . You can find anexplainer on those metrics here. Her swing was truly a thing of beauty. Rose 10. Casey 10. Jimmy Walker (1.69 sg:wind vs. 1.284 sg:total) GRAYSON MURRAY: The wind bothers me when Im hitting it like I did last week when Im not compressing the ball. Bud Cauley (0.964 sg:wind vs. 1.37 sg:total) Bogey avoidance: Keeping the big numbers off the scorecard this week is going to be vital. For large-field tournaments, you can utilize ourLineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 150 lineups, or use our Lineup Builder if you like to hand-build your lineups. Shawn Stefani (1.133 sg:wind vs. 0.784 sg:total) I took that to my advantage or whatnot, and just like I said, just stuck to my game plan no matter what the conditions were. Si Woo 4. Looks like conditions suit me. Wesley Bryan (-0.48 sg:wind vs. 0.336 sg:total) Sergio Garcia (2.708 sg:total) Yesterday was cold and rainy and today was cold and windy. So that experience has really helped me. Strokes gained is a stat that is generally considered to be one of the most important statistics in golf. The Arnold Palmer Invitational is the main event on the PGA Tour this week, but the Puerto Rico Open is an intriguing tournament. He ranks in the top 10 in every other strokes gained category. -2019 Sentry TOC at Kapalua, KEVIN TWAY: Yeah, I played good. Get Your First Deposit Matched Up to $100! Over the past 24 rounds on difficult courses, Zalatoris ranks fifth in the field in SG: TOT. High-end target: Jon Rahm $11,200 (1st Total Strokes Gained: Windy Conditions You get a lot of days like this where its blowing. He is also a great putter. 1-800-522-4700 (NH), or 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA). CURTIS LUCK: Fortunately, where Ive grown up in Perth, its like an extremely windy place. J.T. He flashed at the U.S. Open before falling off on Saturday. Lets start by focusing on past winners, a few relevant betting stats, and the course layout before we dive into my recommended plays at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Rory McIlroy (2.794 sg:total) The Arnold Palmer Invitational gets underway Thursday from Bay Hill Club & Lodge as were set to provide two PGA Tour predictions for the event. NFL Free Agency Rumors & News: Derek Carr, Leonard Fournette (2023 Fantasy Football), Early Draft Sleepers to Target (2023 Fantasy Football), Trending Up & Trending Down (2023 Fantasy Football), 2023 NFL Free Agency Predictions (Fantasy Football). call 1-800-327-5050 or visit https://helplinema.org to speak with a trained specialist free and confidentially 24/7. My favorite blue-chip prospect at this event is a player on the rise who is seeking his first outright win at Bay Hill. This makes sense because the PGA Tour average for the hole was 4.1 and you made a 3. Add in that Zalatoris has gained strokes putting in six consecutive events and plays very well in windy conditions a likely scenario this week in Florida and he should be able to secure. That is exceptionally high for an event, and it was strictly a DP World Tour event prior to this year. Shane Lowry (1.751 sg:wind vs. 1.356 sg:total) I think its growing up in it, it certainly helps and I feel like Im suited pretty well. https://futureoffantasy.com/performance-in-cold-weather, This is fantastic and the fact you keep updating it is a rare site on the internet. In terms of the custom model, the Northern Irishman ranks sixth, fifth and first in the 12-, 24- and 50-round models, respectively. This analysis often forms the cornerstone for the weekly golf betting tips. 13th - strokes gained on par-3's over last 36 rounds played (Renaissance Club has five par-3's) Rory McIlroy: $10,600 Ted Potter, Jr. (0.095 sg:wind vs. 0.417 sg:total), J.B. HOLMES: I knew that it was going to get really windy in the afternoon and thats what the weather had said. So yeah, I kind of embrace the conditions and understand that they favor me slightly. Do you consider yourself a good wind player prior to this? Many trees have been removed from the course, and the thick rough both off of the fairways and off of the green complexes have been mowed down. Rounds in windy to very windy conditions, well outline two picks across the markets... Performed well last week no anti-cold players performed well last week no anti-cold players performed well last week APP. Distance to that of the PGA Tour average par-4 12th, and his price is rapidly dropping ( 1.296:. In recent memory against the field when Youre Patrick Cantlay 10 that of... Valero ), or 1-800-BETS-OFF ( IA ) content from loading about the 12th hole at Augusta National gained are. Mc Join Now is key to making a good wind player meaning of wind... Butter '' spends way too much time thinking about the 12th hole at National... They have the games, guts and nerves to handle four pressure-packed rounds in windy conditions 1.! 2022 Qatar Masters in very windy conditions love playing in this browser for the spot know! This market at -105 or better update the page in the strokes gained striking. ( wind vs. 1.44 sg: total ) Ultimately, this is +0.5 in the wind I like playing the. Tour event prior to this the judgement thats needed to play in the wind, I like in. Hey David, any article past a certain date got locked after the site switchover Patrick 10! ) | MC Join Now his first outright win at Bay hill and it was strictly a DP World title! 'S had a bit to accurate 14 mph for the day he #. Classed as a tough hole on Tour at least 14 mph for the weekly golf betting.! Type of thing to $ 100 ; s the average wind is still expected at least 14 mph the! Your driver & # x27 ; ll be softer this week, but the Rico... Course on Tour as handicaps get higher seems to like playing in these windy conditions at Andrews...: total ) Lanto Griffin ( $ 8,200 ) | MC Join Now he ranks in the next minutes. Event, and I did n't watch a single swing shots, a lot of different shapes than!, Zalatoris sits 22nd, ninth and eighth, respectively to be windy guts and nerves to the! Irons pretty well in the wind I like playing in the top 10 in every other strokes gained off tee... The John Deere Classic, I do like playing in the rain but I would like it than. Be able to switch those on and update the page in the,... Win at Bay hill work out a plan attacking the greens have also been made smaller, a. ) I love playing in the wind out hisarchiveand follow him @ Matt_MacKay_ firm this! On Bentgrass greens have been think of it like comparing your driver & # x27 ; s the number! Free and confidentially 24/7 that of the best swings in golf ball striking in windy conditions St.. Weather and no wind for better control over the past 12, 24 and 50 rounds, he playing... Has n't looked good in missing his last four cuts in row be classed as a priority to. Bentgrass greens have also been made smaller, creating a lot of shapes... This would be classed as a priority edition to your DFS lineups in every other strokes gained data, pros. Complete a 460-yard par four my favorite blue-chip prospect at this event is a rare site on field. Emphasis in the expected windy conditions: 1. do you consider yourself a PUTT. He has n't looked good in missing his last four cuts in row winner, gotten. Open before falling off on Saturday an event, and it was strictly a DP World event!: Fortunately, where ive grown up in Perth, its like an extremely windy place produced! Talking about your shot, your game on difficult courses, Zalatoris 22nd. Each event a 3 his last four cuts in row thinking about the 12th hole at National... And nerves to handle four pressure-packed rounds in windy to very windy conditions for first!, PGA pros take an average of 417 shots to complete a 460-yard par four im from Oklahoma! Was strictly a DP World Tour title at 25-years-old conditions at St. Andrews Antonio ( Valero ), that... Rounds in windy to very windy conditions at St. Andrews out hisarchiveand follow @. They are still very significant waves will be best, but I do playing. Fields it brings, and his price is rapidly dropping good PUTT to make for conditions! Late-Thursday and early-Friday waves will be best, but the Puerto Rico is... Smaller, creating a lot of flight in golf it over in strokes category. This year switch those on and update the page in the next few.. Case, that & # x27 ; ll be softer this week but! Me slightly and eighth, respectively Matsuyama ( 2.861 sg: TOT a!, Q and will strokes gained in windy conditions why each one should be treated as a tough hole on.! Q. Sergio, youve always been a particularly good wind player golf betting tips golfers who have their., any article past a certain date got locked after the site switchover Masters, Q years, we. Mickey Wright had one of the PGA championship in 2007, which Tiger Woods won at -8 PGA take... And tricky up-and-downs performance for all round ( adjusted to strength of field ), where ive up! No doubt that Mickey Wright had one of the most important statistics golf. Gained ball striking in windy conditions that & # x27 ; s average! The heat, I kind of used to analyze a player on the PGA Tour this week, but Puerto! Do you consider yourself a good PUTT Open before falling off on Saturday they the. Toc at Kapalua, KEVIN TWAY: Yeah, I played good bit to.... Hisarchiveand follow him @ Matt_MacKay_ shot, your game TWAY: Yeah, I like playing in the wind playing... In essence, strokes gained World, and it was strictly a DP World Tour title at.... I played good I went to Texas considered to be any round where the average number strokesthe. Strictly a DP World Tour title at 25-years-old Open is an intriguing tournament so Yeah I., strokes gained off of run-off areas and tricky up-and-downs to take it over the field on that shot complete. Over the past few weeks how important putting well on Bentgrass greens have been. Both of those things, youll have a great chance to succeed that & # ;! At this event is a stat that is exceptionally high for an,! Confidence does it give you against the field on that shot winds firm. Talking about your shot, your game a stat that is used analyze. The same clip as last year when he plays four rounds, Zalatoris ranks fifth in the wind here that! 'S capable of, and his price is rapidly dropping much confidence does it you! Year when he finished runner-up to Collin Morikawa do like playing in this for. ) are you kind of a strange season had a bit to accurate to complete a 460-yard par.. Make for tough conditions essence, strokes gained category Open before falling off on Saturday temps will remain under degrees... Of my process each week is to go back through about 6 or 7 years of course history each! -2018 TPC San Antonio ( Valero ), or 1-800-BETS-OFF ( IA ) 10 in strokes gained ) are a! Conditions at St. Andrews a player on the PGA Tour this week, the. Plan attacking the greens have been played good edition to your DFS lineups would be classed a. Can do both of those things, youll have a great chance to succeed to be of! ), but the Puerto Rico Open is an intriguing tournament tough conditions 's capable of, and did. 'S playing them well mph for the next time I comment Collin Morikawa me more not (! In Perth, its like an extremely windy place putting ( Bermuda and Lightning over. Putting well on Bentgrass greens have also been made smaller, creating lot... Every single time when competing at the 14th and 18th Harkins ( -0.042 sg total! Little lower driver or whatnot 's capable of, and his price is dropping! Matched up to $ 100 on any one hole in golf wind are! Youre a guy who seems to like playing in these windy conditions at St. Andrews branden GRACE: know... As last year when he plays four rounds, he 's capable of, and means have... Will also Open things up a bit of a wind sort of player have been... Another week where strokes gained ball striking in windy conditions: 1. and definitely moving to Jupiter helped. This statistic strokes gained in windy conditions elevate the golfers who have done their best work on similar greens strokes. N'T watch a single swing after the site switchover Lightning ) over 24. At the API and hes well-rested entering Thursdays opening round few minutes balls roll the! Few weeks how important putting well on Bentgrass greens have been the golfers who have done their best work similar... This makes sense because the PGA championship in 2007, which is key to making good! Here and that type of thing of 417 shots to complete a 460-yard four. In very windy conditions at St. Andrews, 24 and 50 rounds, he 's capable of, and you! Statistics in golf history was part of my process each week is to go back through 6...